Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1.844845 2.124566 2.432185 2.795575 3.213162 3.678083 4.235128
2025-05-18 1.416342 1.772458 2.197186 2.741087 3.419368 4.237815 5.301334
2025-05-25 1.095822 1.473138 1.955699 2.618148 3.504526 4.650750 6.247979
2025-06-01 0.910134 1.303539 1.838730 2.620044 3.732631 5.262187 7.529440
2025-06-08 0.755261 1.144979 1.705336 2.569799 3.871466 5.761858 8.723614
2025-06-15 0.686195 1.095254 1.713670 2.716619 4.305147 6.729606 10.723623
2025-06-22 0.611508 1.023239 1.674975 2.781551 4.617354 7.549645 12.607674
2025-06-29 0.534673 0.934647 1.595282 2.765599 4.792232 8.168491 14.245625
2025-07-06 0.451771 0.822633 1.459993 2.634726 4.752109 8.420868 15.292225
2025-07-13 0.419832 0.794302 1.462263 2.740010 5.131145 9.429565 17.785811
2025-07-20 0.395876 0.776560 1.479901 2.873401 5.575253 10.604016 20.730203
2025-07-27 0.367504 0.746116 1.469388 2.951006 5.922127 11.637699 23.538248
2025-08-03 0.335395 0.705171 1.435983 2.984770 6.198884 12.593107 26.367484
2025-08-10 0.295110 0.641899 1.350251 2.901743 6.230330 13.071556 28.303444
2025-08-17 0.254811 0.572671 1.242882 2.758193 6.114957 13.233940 29.596283
2025-08-24 0.231790 0.537626 1.202530 2.752582 6.293975 14.035053 32.381021
2025-08-31 0.207528 0.496266 1.142864 2.695563 6.350548 14.576961 34.659849
2025-09-07 0.201034 0.495099 1.172699 2.847013 6.903431 16.294391 39.885215
2025-09-14 0.189175 0.479397 1.166932 2.913576 7.265170 17.618834 44.359862
2025-09-21 0.173305 0.451552 1.128714 2.896031 7.420396 18.475108 47.807388
2025-09-28 0.152461 0.408145 1.046945 2.758541 7.257818 18.539641 49.271787
2025-10-05 0.146786 0.403397 1.061022 2.868497 7.743219 20.276862 55.299357
2025-10-12 0.142799 0.402597 1.085077 3.007973 8.325119 22.334233 62.462282